Discount Gambling

Six Card Poker Bad Beat Bonus

Posted in six card poker by stephenhow on June 25, 2013

sixcardI end up playing a lot of this game at my local Viejas Casino, mostly because it’s a really cheap game if you stick to the just Ante bet (~1.5% house edge). Of course, everyone else plays the Aces Up and Two-Way Bad Beat Bonuses, and you pretty much get ostracised from the table for not betting them. The other players just shake their head at you, and g-d forbid you should lose with a bad beat without betting the bonus. I don’t know where else you’ll ever experience such negative communal disapproval. It’s about as bad when you hit your 12-15 against a dealer 6 upcard in Spanish 21 (you should). On 3rd base. Every hand.

Anyway, everyone just loves the Two-Way Bad Beat Bonus. They don’t care what the house edge is. That’s why they’re there. They just want to hit a 35:1 or higher payout. And it happens frequently enough, especially when you play it every day. It’s the crack cocaine of bonus bets.

I saw the WOO’s numbers for the Two-Way Bad Beat were a little different than mine, but they’re pretty close. The 11.1% house edge is more than I’m usually willing to pay. I’ll bet it once or twice an hour, and consider it an occasional treat. But, unless I made a mistake, it’s not impossible for your straight flush to get beat (1 in 100 million). So you’re telling me there’s a chance …

Six Card Poker Two-Way Bad Beat Bonus
Beat Hand Combinations Probability Payout
Straight Flush 1,967,920 1.0320E-08 10,000 0.000103
Four-of-a-Kind 150,323,712 7.8830E-07 5,000 0.003941
Full House 18,331,506,888 9.6130E-05 500 0.048065
Flush 57,651,601,832 3.0232E-04 200 0.060465
Straight 185,942,016,336 9.7508E-04 100 0.097508
Three-of-a-Kind 776,263,604,160 4.0707E-03 35 0.142475
Two Pairs 6,590,304,418,608 3.4559E-02 10 0.345595
Pair Aces 2,871,866,305,368 1.5060E-02 9 0.135540
Others 180,194,060,203,056 9.4494E-01 -1 -0.944935
Total 190,694,571,947,880 100% -0.111243

4 Responses

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  1. Julian said, on June 28, 2013 at 4:36 pm

    Are you going to Viejas tonight? I will be there. I have never seen you but I always read your block. I will wear grey AF polo. Hope see you there. 6/28

  2. Pancho Sanza said, on July 1, 2013 at 9:57 am

    You should hit a 15 vs. a dealer 2 “every time” in Spanish 21???

    • Charles said, on July 4, 2013 at 5:04 am

      I was also going to mention this. Correct basic in Spanish has you only “always” hitting 12 v 6; 13 is a hit if you can go for any bonus, and 14 is a hit only if you can go for the big bonus; 15 and 16 are stands.

      • stringer said, on July 9, 2013 at 10:27 am

        In point of fact (if you are playing the non double double double S17 game) you should hit against 6 with a 12 and 13, and against a 14 if you have a chance for a 6-7-8 bonus… that is basic strategy…
        Under special circumstances, you may hit against 15 as well…

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