Discount Gambling

G3 Poker Progressive @ Barona

Posted in progressive sidebets by stephenhow on September 17, 2011

All the carnival games at Barona (Three-Card Poker, Four-Card Poker, Caribbean Stud, Mississippi Stud, etc.) share the same G3 5-card poker progressive.

Hand Payout Probability Return
Royal Flush 100% 1.5391 x 10-6 jackpot/649,740
Straight Flush 10% 1.3852 x 10-5 jackpot/721,933
4-of-a-Kind 500-for-1 2.4010 x 10-4 0.120048
Bad Hand* 250-for-1 3.9400 x 10-4 0.098501
Full House 100-for-1 1.4406 x 10-3 0.144058
Flush 50-for-1 1.9654 x 10-3 0.098270
Straight 20-for-1 3.9246 x 10-3 0.078493
Magic Card** 20-for-1 3.6982 x 10-3 0.073964
all others 0-for-1 ~ 98.8% 0
total 0.613334 +

So the break even point for the jackpot is $132,227.

*Bad Hand = 7-5-4-3-2
**Magic Card frequency assumed @ 1/26 (from DEQ published data)

One Response

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  1. Ikusa said, on March 6, 2013 at 7:50 pm

    Hi Steve,

    I noticed your bad hand return is slightly incorrect. It looks like you came up with 1024 combinations for this hand, but you forgot to subtract the 4 ways to make a flush. This leaves you with 1020 comb., 0.0003925 probability, and 0.098116 return.
    It’s a small difference, but should be noted.

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