Discount Gambling

Super Six Baccarat

Posted in +EV, baccarat by stephenhow on June 14, 2013

Some readers asked about a Baccarat side bet called “Super Six” which pays 15:1 for a dealer wins with a 6 total. It’s really easy to analyze the countability of any Baccarat side bet. The ideal return for this bet with a perfect (computer) count of an 8-deck shoe game with 15 cards behind the cut is only +24% of a fixed bet per shoe (2.6 bets per shoe at an average +9.2% advantage per bet). A simple unbalanced count (six => -2, seven, eight, nine => +1) and betting when the running count is +34 or higher yields only +12.2% of a fixed bet per shoe on 2.77 bets/shoe, and +4.41% edge/bet. It really doesn’t seem worth the effort, even if you had an ideal count (e.g., mobile app). You’d go crazy waiting around for less than 3 bets per shoe.

5 Responses

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. Wan said, on June 17, 2014 at 7:45 pm

    I saw few days ago, a live internet casino where a super 6 baccarat with around 1deck back cut plus burn cards based on 1st face up card value. They paid 12 to 1to super6 bonus. It is worth to count?

    • stephenhow said, on June 17, 2014 at 7:49 pm

      Probably not, since the bet is only marginally countable when they pay 15-to-1 for a super 6, and only cutoff 15+burn cards.

      • James said, on June 18, 2014 at 7:17 pm

        Steve,

        It’s been a while since I’ve talked with you. Still remember the Power98 baccarat sidebet ? :=)

        Here is the new BJ sidebet, 6 deck, cutoff 1 deck, H17. If dealer busts, 1 pay 2.5. Profitable ?

        Are you going to upload your CSM BJ simulator kit to Github ?

        James

    • James said, on June 18, 2014 at 7:04 pm

      Not worth to count if 1 pay 12.

  2. Wan said, on June 18, 2014 at 6:41 am

    Anyway, thanks for your advise, I’ll keep on my research on biased roulette wheel.


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: