Discount Gambling

World Poker Tour All-In 3x (+EV)

I cleaned up my +EV collusion strategy for the World Poker Tour 3x All-In Hold’Em casino table game, because my old strategy was basically unplayable. I’ve simplified the strategy to focus on copied cards, and to ignore the high cards that only slightly lower the probability of the dealer qualifying. I optimized the strategy for four players, since I wanted a +EV worth playing for.

I always see the game at the Mandalay Bay, when I walk through it on my way to the Forum Shops at Caesar’s. It’s also dealt at my local Sycuan Casino. I always tell my friends we should play it, but no one has any interest in +EV play, or carnival games. I figure someone out there sees the value in sharing hole card info for this game, since it starts with a mere 0.74% house edge. The following simplified collusion strategy simulates at a player advantage of about 0.31%.

The game is really simple, and other than the bad bonus bets, is not very exciting. Each player posts an Ante to start the game. The player then receives 2 down cards, which combined with the 5 card board, makes a Hold’Em poker hand. The dealer also receives two down cards, for his Hold’Em hand. You look at your 2 down cards and decide to either 3x raise “all-in”, or fold and lose the Ante. Once the players action is complete, the dealer turns up his hole cards. The dealer hand qualifies if it’s a pair, or has a blackjack value of 11 or greater. If the dealer doesn’t qualify, the remaining players win the Ante bet, and the 3x Raise bet pushes. If the dealer qualifies, then he deals the flop, turn, and river. The dealer’s Hold’Em hand is compared to each player’s Hold’Em hand. If the player has the higher hand, he wins even money on the Ante and the 3x Raise. If the dealer has the higher hand, the player loses both bets. If the hands are equal, the bets push.

The basic strategy is very simple. You’re supposed to 3x raise any pair or suited hand. The only hands you fold are 23o thru 28o, and 34o, 36o, and 37o. (That’s deuce-trey thru deuce-eight offsuit, and trey-four, trey-six, and trey-seven offsuit.)

If four players share down card info, then the players have about a 0.31% edge over the house. The players need to know if their hole cards are copied by their neighbors. Here’s the modified strategy:

Hand Basic Strategy 4-Player Strategy
23o thru 28o Fold 3x Raise if no copies
29o, 2To 3x Raise 3x Raise if no copies
34o thru 37o Fold 34o, 36o, 37o 3x Raise if no copies
38o 3x Raise 3x Raise if no copies
39o 3x Raise 3x Raise if <= 1 copies
3To 3x Raise 3x Raise if <= 2 copies
23s thru 28s 3x Raise 3x Raise if no copies, or 1 copy and <= 1 suit seen
29s, 2Ts 3x Raise 3x Raise if <= 1 copies, or 2 copies and <= 1 suit seen
34s thru 37s 3x Raise 3x Raise if no copies, or 1 copy and <= 1 suit seen
38s 3x Raise 3x Raise if <= 1 copies, or 2 copies and <= 1 suit seen
39s 3x Raise 3x Raise if <= 1 copies, or <= 1 suit seen
3Ts 3x Raise 3x Raise if <= 2 copies, or <= 1 suit seen

Additionally, you should fold triple-copied offsuit hands T2 thru T6, 92 thru 96, 82 thru 85, 72 thru 76, 62 thru 65, and 54.

2 Responses

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  1. walker said, on March 12, 2011 at 7:14 pm

    is there an wpt all-in x3 game in san diego county?

    • stephenhow said, on March 13, 2011 at 6:07 am

      There’s a WPT 3x All-In game at Sycuan.

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